Veritas · Signal Audit

Opening Band Ledger

Predicted versus actual opening prices for NIFTY 50, NIFTY BANK, and SENSEX. Every run day is recorded. Misses are included and never edited.

Showing 17 run days (2026-06-08 – 2026-07-01). Each row is one real trading day with a real prediction. Days Veritas did not run are omitted — not shown as hits. Date links go to the full validation receipt. Generated: 2026-07-02 04:17 UTC.

38/51
bands held
75%
band accuracy
29/51
direction calls correct
57%
direction accuracy
17
run days
Date Index Predicted band Actual open Band held Midpoint error Direction call vs outcome
08 Jun 2026
Mon
NIFTY 5023,149.90 – 23,391.6223,133.350.590%Bearish ✓
NIFTY BANK53,949.07 – 54,754.8054,228.050.228%Bearish ✓
SENSEX73,200.56 – 74,731.7273,499.660.631%Bearish ✓
09 Jun 2026
Tue
NIFTY 5022,995.48 – 23,227.8623,237.300.544%Bearish ✗
NIFTY BANK53,831.57 – 54,327.8354,541.950.855%Bearish ✗
SENSEX72,720.43 – 74,304.6173,908.280.538%Neutral ✗
10 Jun 2026
Wed
NIFTY 5023,086.88 – 23,302.9523,326.350.567%Bearish ✗
NIFTY BANK54,904.90 – 55,432.6855,260.300.166%Bearish ✗
SENSEX73,079.88 – 74,550.3474,257.290.599%Neutral ✗
11 Jun 2026
Thu
NIFTY 5022,986.78 – 23,210.1723,115.850.075%Bearish ✓
NIFTY BANK54,443.77 – 55,269.7154,974.000.214%Bearish ✓
SENSEX72,868.13 – 74,376.4573,635.910.018%Bearish ✓
12 Jun 2026
Fri
NIFTY 5023,261.97 – 23,424.9923,423.800.344%Bullish ✓
NIFTY BANK55,029.43 – 55,495.1755,934.101.216%Neutral ✗
SENSEX74,248.73 – 75,642.8874,773.340.230%Neutral ✗
15 Jun 2026
Mon
NIFTY 5023,608.35 – 23,991.9923,960.050.672%Bullish ✓
NIFTY BANK56,674.22 – 57,530.0957,582.650.841%Bullish ✓
SENSEX75,049.51 – 76,891.9076,632.120.871%Bullish ✓
16 Jun 2026
Tue
NIFTY 5023,756.84 – 23,972.2423,984.850.504%Neutral ✗
NIFTY BANK57,066.27 – 57,484.7957,679.650.706%Neutral ✗
SENSEX75,578.35 – 77,082.5976,725.270.517%Neutral ✗
17 Jun 2026
Wed
NIFTY 5023,881.47 – 24,062.6823,989.650.073%Neutral ✓
NIFTY BANK57,119.37 – 57,467.3757,261.900.055%Neutral ✓
SENSEX76,072.17 – 77,525.2076,816.090.023%Neutral ✓
18 Jun 2026
Thu
NIFTY 5023,919.04 – 24,137.6924,085.100.236%Bearish ✗
NIFTY BANK57,212.44 – 57,853.7257,750.450.378%Neutral ✗
SENSEX76,232.14 – 77,826.5177,131.660.133%Neutral ✓
19 Jun 2026
Fri
NIFTY 5024,041.82 – 24,295.4224,073.800.392%Neutral ✓
NIFTY BANK57,694.68 – 58,270.2257,596.450.666%Neutral ✓
SENSEX76,590.13 – 78,262.4477,131.660.381%Neutral ✓
22 Jun 2026
Mon
NIFTY 5023,892.53 – 24,148.3024,121.350.420%Bullish ✓
NIFTY BANK57,251.19 – 58,225.4657,841.950.179%Neutral ✗
SENSEX76,597.40 – 77,158.5477,174.820.386%Bullish ✓
23 Jun 2026
Tue
NIFTY 5023,891.41 – 24,196.7424,077.100.137%Bearish ✗
NIFTY BANK57,308.10 – 58,306.0957,842.800.062%Neutral ✓
SENSEX76,615.47 – 77,310.7477,024.780.080%Neutral ✓
24 Jun 2026
Wed
NIFTY 5023,672.05 – 23,838.2923,848.650.394%Bearish ✗
NIFTY BANK56,888.64 – 57,590.9757,367.750.224%Bearish ✗
SENSEX75,945.71 – 76,581.3776,320.820.075%Neutral ✗
25 Jun 2026
Thu
NIFTY 5023,865.80 – 24,094.2724,125.850.608%Bullish ✓
NIFTY BANK57,813.07 – 58,678.3258,493.850.426%Bullish ✓
SENSEX76,492.29 – 77,306.5177,391.070.639%Bullish ✓
29 Jun 2026
Mon
NIFTY 5023,884.51 – 24,178.3824,081.400.208%Bullish ✓
NIFTY BANK57,470.23 – 58,655.9658,179.200.200%Bullish ✗
SENSEX76,600.55 – 77,552.4277,091.510.019%Bullish ✗
30 Jun 2026
Tue
NIFTY 5023,787.67 – 24,080.3623,941.350.031%Neutral ✓
NIFTY BANK57,429.02 – 58,260.9657,914.400.120%Bullish ✓
SENSEX76,249.20 – 77,180.6676,760.680.060%Neutral ✓
01 Jul 2026
Wed
NIFTY 5023,707.99 – 24,002.0523,912.400.241%Bullish ✗
NIFTY BANK57,167.68 – 58,049.2457,573.350.061%Neutral ✗
SENSEX76,004.68 – 76,926.4376,640.620.229%Neutral ✓

How to read this table

Predicted band: The range published pre-market by Veritas (low – high). The actual open must fall inside this range for "band held" to register.

Midpoint error: How far the actual open was from the band's midpoint, as a percentage of that midpoint.

Direction call vs outcome: Veritas publishes a directional bias (Bullish / Bearish / Neutral) alongside the band. "✓" means the directional call matched the actual session open relative to the prior close. "✗" means it did not. Neutral calls are held to a lower bar: only a strong move in the opposite direction registers as a miss.

View individual daily receipts →


Archived Records — Feb–Jun 2026

70-Day ClickHouse Archive

Republished from permanent ClickHouse storage. Each archived receipt shows the prediction as it was stored before the 09:15 IST market open, with the actual price and band side-by-side so range_hit is independently verifiable. These are distinct from the live receipts in the table above.

117/187
bands held (70 trading days)
62.6%
band accuracy — all eras
39.1%
Era 1 band accuracy (NIFTY+BANK)
70.2%
Era 2 band accuracy (NIFTY+BANK+SENSEX)
62.6%
direction accuracy
4.05%
mean midpoint error

Stats denominator: 187 index-days across 70 trading days. Era 1 (Feb 20–Apr 6, 23 days): NIFTY 50 + NIFTY BANK. Era 2 (Apr 7–Jun 19, 47 days): NIFTY 50 + NIFTY BANK + SENSEX. 5 days with predictions but no stored validation outcome excluded — not shown as hits, not shown as misses. Range_hit read from raw_payload.metrics.{key}.range_hit (not stale table column).

2026-06-053/3 2026-06-043/3 2026-06-031/3 2026-06-023/3 2026-06-013/3 2026-05-292/3 2026-05-273/3 2026-05-263/3 2026-05-251/3 2026-05-222/3 2026-05-212/3 2026-05-203/3 2026-05-193/3 2026-05-183/3 2026-05-153/3 2026-05-143/3 2026-05-133/3 2026-05-123/3 2026-05-111/3 2026-05-083/3 2026-05-073/3 2026-05-061/3 2026-05-053/3 2026-05-042/3 2026-04-300/3 2026-04-291/3 2026-04-282/3 2026-04-271/3 2026-04-241/3 2026-04-233/3 2026-04-203/3 2026-04-160/3 2026-04-133/3 2026-04-100/3 2026-04-092/3 2026-04-080/3 2026-04-072/3 2026-04-06 ①2/2 2026-03-30 ①0/2 2026-03-27 ①0/2 2026-03-26 ①0/2 2026-03-25 ①0/2 2026-03-20 ①0/2 2026-03-19 ①0/2 2026-03-18 ①1/2 2026-03-17 ①1/2 2026-03-16 ①2/2 2026-03-13 ①1/2 2026-03-12 ①1/2 2026-03-11 ①1/2 2026-03-10 ①0/2 2026-03-09 ①0/2 2026-03-06 ①2/2 2026-03-05 ①1/2 2026-03-04 ①0/2 2026-03-02 ①0/2 2026-02-25 ①2/2 2026-02-24 ①1/2 2026-02-23 ①1/2 2026-02-20 ①2/2

① Era 1 — NIFTY 50 + NIFTY BANK only (accuracy_logger, Feb 20–Apr 6). No SENSEX validation stored in Era 1.

Full receipt archive (newest first) →