Veritas — 2026-06-19 — Day 10 of public tracking
Post-market outcome: predicted first-15-minute bands vs actual first-15-minute trade. Misses are included. This record is permanent and unedited.
Observed: 2026-06-19T08:46:15.756570+05:30
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The NIFTY 50 first-15-minute price (24,073.80) landed near the lower end of the predicted band (24,041.82 – 24,295.42). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. Model confidence was low at 50% (weak directional reliability). When confidence is below 55%, the band is the primary accountability surface and the directional lean is secondary.
The BANK NIFTY first-15-minute price (57,596.45) traded outside the predicted band (57,694.68 – 58,270.22) — a band miss. The first-15-minute trade printed 98.23 below the lower bound. Model confidence was 60% with strong directional reliability.
The SENSEX first-15-minute price (77,131.66) landed near the lower end of the predicted band (76,590.13 – 78,262.44). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. Model confidence was low at 54% (strong directional reliability). When confidence is below 55%, the band is the primary accountability surface and the directional lean is secondary.
About This Receipt
This is a permanent, unedited record of what AION Veritas predicted before the 2026-06-19 market open versus what the market actually did. Validation price is the 09:15–09:25 IST median first-15-minute window. Receipts are published the same day, after market close, and are never revised.