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Archived Validation Receipt

Veritas — 27 April 2026 (Monday)

Archived record. Republished from permanent ClickHouse storage. Prediction generated 2026-04-27 08:46 IST (pre-open, before 09:15 IST market open). Not a live run — this is a historical record from the validation archive. Band and actual price shown below are as stored; range_hit is independently verifiable.
Bands held
1/3
Direction correct
2/3
Index scope
NIFTY 50 + NIFTY BANK + SENSEX
NIFTY 50
BAND MISS
Predicted band (low)23,938.42
Predicted band (high)23,974.05
Predicted midpoint23,956.24
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)24,037.50
Band resultMISS ✗
Direction (bias: BULLISH)Correct ✓
Confidence98.5%
Failure modeBand miss — actual open outside predicted range

The NIFTY 50 first-15-minute price (24,037.50) traded outside the predicted band (23,938.42 – 23,974.05) — a band miss. The first-15-minute trade printed 63.45 above the upper bound. The first-15-minute price landed outside the predicted band. Recorded without editing. Model confidence was 98% with weak directional reliability.

NIFTY BANK
BAND HIT
Predicted band (low)56,113.17
Predicted band (high)56,660.27
Predicted midpoint56,386.72
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)56,317.80
Band resultHIT ✓
Direction (bias: BULLISH)Correct ✓
Confidence98.5%

The NIFTY BANK first-15-minute price (56,317.80) landed near the midpoint of the predicted band (56,113.17 – 56,660.27). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. The model's directional lean was BULLISH, and the first-15-minute price moved in that direction — both the range and directional read aligned with what the market did. Model confidence was 98% with weak directional reliability.

SENSEX
BAND MISS
Predicted band (low)78,063.22
Predicted band (high)78,695.02
Predicted midpoint78,379.12
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)77,126.55
Band resultMISS ✗
Direction (bias: BULLISH)Incorrect ✗
Confidence89.6%
Failure modeBand miss — actual open outside predicted range

The SENSEX first-15-minute price (77,126.55) traded outside the predicted band (78,063.22 – 78,695.02) — a band miss. The first-15-minute trade printed 936.67 below the lower bound. The first-15-minute price landed outside the predicted band. Recorded without editing. Model confidence was 90% with weak directional reliability.

About this archived receipt

This receipt is republished from permanent ClickHouse storage — the same data store Veritas has used since 27 April 2. The prediction was generated at 2026-04-27 08:46 IST, before the market opened at 09:15 IST. The actual open is the 09:15–09:25 IST median window price as stored at validation time. Neither the prediction nor the actual has been modified.

Band (low/high) and actual price are shown on every receipt so you can verify range_hit independently: if the actual falls between the band low and high, the band held.

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