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Archived Validation Receipt

Veritas — 10 April 2026 (Friday)

Archived record. Republished from permanent ClickHouse storage. Prediction generated 2026-04-10 08:46 IST (pre-open, before 09:15 IST market open). Not a live run — this is a historical record from the validation archive. Band and actual price shown below are as stored; range_hit is independently verifiable.
Bands held
0/3
Direction correct
1/3
Index scope
NIFTY 50 + NIFTY BANK + SENSEX
NIFTY 50
BAND MISS
Predicted band (low)23,750.21
Predicted band (high)23,783.03
Predicted midpoint23,766.62
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)23,928.25
Band resultMISS ✗
Direction (bias: NEUTRAL)Not asserted
Confidence70.1%
Failure modeBand miss — actual open outside predicted range

The NIFTY 50 first-15-minute price (23,928.25) traded outside the predicted band (23,750.21 – 23,783.03) — a band miss. The first-15-minute trade printed 145.22 above the upper bound. The first-15-minute price landed outside the predicted band. Recorded without editing. Model confidence was 70% with weak directional reliability.

NIFTY BANK
BAND MISS
Predicted band (low)54,671.31
Predicted band (high)55,009.71
Predicted midpoint54,840.51
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)55,562.93
Band resultMISS ✗
Direction (bias: BULLISH)Correct ✓
Confidence84.7%
Failure modeBand miss — actual open outside predicted range

The NIFTY BANK first-15-minute price (55,562.93) traded outside the predicted band (54,671.31 – 55,009.71) — a band miss. The first-15-minute trade printed 553.22 above the upper bound. The first-15-minute price landed outside the predicted band. Recorded without editing. Model confidence was 85% with weak directional reliability.

SENSEX
BAND MISS
Predicted band (low)76,443.94
Predicted band (high)76,789.31
Predicted midpoint76,616.62
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)77,132.20
Band resultMISS ✗
Direction (bias: NEUTRAL)Not asserted
Confidence100.0%
Failure modeBand miss — actual open outside predicted range

The SENSEX first-15-minute price (77,132.20) traded outside the predicted band (76,443.94 – 76,789.31) — a band miss. The first-15-minute trade printed 342.89 above the upper bound. The first-15-minute price landed outside the predicted band. Recorded without editing. Model confidence was 100% with weak directional reliability.

About this archived receipt

This receipt is republished from permanent ClickHouse storage — the same data store Veritas has used since 10 April 2. The prediction was generated at 2026-04-10 08:46 IST, before the market opened at 09:15 IST. The actual open is the 09:15–09:25 IST median window price as stored at validation time. Neither the prediction nor the actual has been modified.

Band (low/high) and actual price are shown on every receipt so you can verify range_hit independently: if the actual falls between the band low and high, the band held.

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