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Archived Validation Receipt

Veritas — 25 May 2026 (Monday)

Archived record. Republished from permanent ClickHouse storage. Prediction generated 2026-05-25 08:46 IST (pre-open, before 09:15 IST market open). Not a live run — this is a historical record from the validation archive. Band and actual price shown below are as stored; range_hit is independently verifiable.
Bands held
1/3
Direction correct
3/3
Index scope
NIFTY 50 + NIFTY BANK + SENSEX
NIFTY 50
BAND MISS
Predicted band (low)23,612.94
Predicted band (high)23,919.54
Predicted midpoint23,766.24
Actual open (09:15-09:25 Median)23,968.75
Band resultMISS ✗
Direction (bias: BULLISH)Correct ✓
Confidence38.5%
Failure modeRANGE_MISS

The NIFTY 50 first-15-minute price (23,968.75) traded outside the predicted band (23,612.94 – 23,919.54) — a band miss. The first-15-minute trade printed 49.21 above the upper bound. Model confidence was very low at 38% — the model signalled that it was unsure about this session. On sub-48%-confidence days the band tends to be wider.

NIFTY BANK
BAND MISS
Predicted band (low)53,746.23
Predicted band (high)54,713.53
Predicted midpoint54,229.88
Actual open (09:15-09:25 Median)54,877.95
Band resultMISS ✗
Direction (bias: BULLISH)Correct ✓
Confidence39.4%
Failure modeRANGE_MISS

The NIFTY BANK first-15-minute price (54,877.95) traded outside the predicted band (53,746.23 – 54,713.53) — a band miss. The first-15-minute trade printed 164.42 above the upper bound. Model confidence was very low at 39% — the model signalled that it was unsure about this session. On sub-48%-confidence days the band tends to be wider.

SENSEX
BAND HIT
Predicted band (low)74,270.92
Predicted band (high)76,963.18
Predicted midpoint75,617.05
Actual open (09:15-09:25 Median)76,251.16
Band resultHIT ✓
Direction (bias: BULLISH)Correct ✓
Confidence39.6%

The SENSEX first-15-minute price (76,251.16) landed near the upper end of the predicted band (74,270.92 – 76,963.18). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. The model's directional lean was BULLISH, and the first-15-minute price moved in that direction — both the range and directional read aligned with what the market did. Model confidence was very low at 40% — the model signalled that it was unsure about this session. On sub-48%-confidence days the band tends to be wider.

About this archived receipt

This receipt is republished from permanent ClickHouse storage — the same data store Veritas has used since 25 May 202. The prediction was generated at 2026-05-25 08:46 IST, before the market opened at 09:15 IST. The actual open is the 09:15–09:25 IST median window price as stored at validation time. Neither the prediction nor the actual has been modified.

Band (low/high) and actual price are shown on every receipt so you can verify range_hit independently: if the actual falls between the band low and high, the band held.

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