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Archived Validation Receipt

Veritas — 08 May 2026 (Friday)

Archived record. Republished from permanent ClickHouse storage. Prediction generated 2026-05-08 08:46 IST (pre-open, before 09:15 IST market open). Not a live run — this is a historical record from the validation archive. Band and actual price shown below are as stored; range_hit is independently verifiable.
Bands held
3/3
Direction correct
0/3
Index scope
NIFTY 50 + NIFTY BANK + SENSEX
NIFTY 50
BAND HIT
Predicted band (low)24,208.78
Predicted band (high)24,436.22
Predicted midpoint24,322.50
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)24,226.03
Band resultHIT ✓
Direction (bias: NEUTRAL)Not asserted
Confidence44.0%
Failure modeNeutral call — direction not asserted

The NIFTY 50 first-15-minute price (24,226.03) landed near the lower end of the predicted band (24,208.78 – 24,436.22). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. Directional bias was NEUTRAL — the model did not assert a direction for this session. The band alone is the accountability measure on neutral calls. Model confidence was very low at 44% — the model signalled that it was unsure about this session. On sub-48%-confidence days the band tends to be wider.

NIFTY BANK
BAND HIT
Predicted band (low)55,688.46
Predicted band (high)56,306.74
Predicted midpoint55,997.60
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)55,697.95
Band resultHIT ✓
Direction (bias: NEUTRAL)Not asserted
Confidence48.6%
Failure modeNeutral call — direction not asserted

The NIFTY BANK first-15-minute price (55,697.95) landed near the lower end of the predicted band (55,688.46 – 56,306.74). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. Directional bias was NEUTRAL — the model did not assert a direction for this session. The band alone is the accountability measure on neutral calls. Model confidence was 49% (weak directional reliability). Below 55%, the band is the primary accountability surface.

SENSEX
BAND HIT
Predicted band (low)77,445.71
Predicted band (high)78,246.42
Predicted midpoint77,846.07
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)77,531.95
Band resultHIT ✓
Direction (bias: BEARISH)Incorrect ✗
Confidence39.6%
Failure modeNeutral call — direction not asserted

The SENSEX first-15-minute price (77,531.95) landed near the lower end of the predicted band (77,445.71 – 78,246.42). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. Directional bias was NEUTRAL — the model did not assert a direction for this session. The band alone is the accountability measure on neutral calls. Model confidence was very low at 40% — the model signalled that it was unsure about this session. On sub-48%-confidence days the band tends to be wider.

About this archived receipt

This receipt is republished from permanent ClickHouse storage — the same data store Veritas has used since 08 May 202. The prediction was generated at 2026-05-08 08:46 IST, before the market opened at 09:15 IST. The actual open is the 09:15–09:25 IST median window price as stored at validation time. Neither the prediction nor the actual has been modified.

Band (low/high) and actual price are shown on every receipt so you can verify range_hit independently: if the actual falls between the band low and high, the band held.

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