Veritas — 2026-06-17 — Day 8 of public tracking
Post-market outcome: predicted first-15-minute bands vs actual first-15-minute trade. Misses are included. This record is permanent and unedited.
Observed: 2026-06-17T08:46:19.308321+05:30
3/3
3/3
The NIFTY 50 first-15-minute price (23,989.65) landed near the midpoint of the predicted band (23,881.47 – 24,062.68). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. The model's directional lean was NEUTRAL, and the first-15-minute price moved in that direction — both the range and the directional read aligned with what the market did. Model confidence was low at 49% (weak directional reliability). When confidence is below 55%, the band is the primary accountability surface and the directional lean is secondary.
The BANK NIFTY first-15-minute price (57,261.90) landed near the midpoint of the predicted band (57,119.37 – 57,467.37). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. The model's directional lean was NEUTRAL, and the first-15-minute price moved in that direction — both the range and the directional read aligned with what the market did. Model confidence was low at 48% (weak directional reliability). When confidence is below 55%, the band is the primary accountability surface and the directional lean is secondary.
The SENSEX first-15-minute price (76,816.09) landed near the midpoint of the predicted band (76,072.17 – 77,525.20). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. The model's directional lean was NEUTRAL, and the first-15-minute price moved in that direction — both the range and the directional read aligned with what the market did. Model confidence was low at 53% (strong directional reliability). When confidence is below 55%, the band is the primary accountability surface and the directional lean is secondary.
About This Receipt
This is a permanent, unedited record of what AION Veritas predicted before the 2026-06-17 market open versus what the market actually did. Validation price is the 09:15–09:25 IST median first-15-minute window. Receipts are published the same day, after market close, and are never revised.