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Archived Validation Receipt

Veritas — 14 May 2026 (Thursday)

Archived record. Republished from permanent ClickHouse storage. Prediction generated 2026-05-14 08:46 IST (pre-open, before 09:15 IST market open). Not a live run — this is a historical record from the validation archive. Band and actual price shown below are as stored; range_hit is independently verifiable.
Bands held
3/3
Direction correct
3/3
Index scope
NIFTY 50 + NIFTY BANK + SENSEX
NIFTY 50
BAND HIT
Predicted band (low)23,312.57
Predicted band (high)23,684.84
Predicted midpoint23,498.71
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)23,559.80
Band resultHIT ✓
Direction (bias: BULLISH)Correct ✓
Confidence53.4%

The NIFTY 50 first-15-minute price (23,559.80) landed near the upper end of the predicted band (23,312.57 – 23,684.84). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. The model's directional lean was BULLISH, and the first-15-minute price moved in that direction — both the range and directional read aligned with what the market did. Model confidence was 53% (weak directional reliability). Below 55%, the band is the primary accountability surface.

NIFTY BANK
BAND HIT
Predicted band (low)53,381.16
Predicted band (high)54,139.65
Predicted midpoint53,760.40
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)53,822.78
Band resultHIT ✓
Direction (bias: BULLISH)Correct ✓
Confidence39.4%

The NIFTY BANK first-15-minute price (53,822.78) landed near the midpoint of the predicted band (53,381.16 – 54,139.65). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. The model's directional lean was BULLISH, and the first-15-minute price moved in that direction — both the range and directional read aligned with what the market did. Model confidence was very low at 39% — the model signalled that it was unsure about this session. On sub-48%-confidence days the band tends to be wider.

SENSEX
BAND HIT
Predicted band (low)74,359.87
Predicted band (high)75,615.83
Predicted midpoint74,987.85
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)75,015.67
Band resultHIT ✓
Direction (bias: BULLISH)Correct ✓
Confidence39.6%

The SENSEX first-15-minute price (75,015.67) landed near the midpoint of the predicted band (74,359.87 – 75,615.83). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. The model's directional lean was BULLISH, and the first-15-minute price moved in that direction — both the range and directional read aligned with what the market did. Model confidence was very low at 40% — the model signalled that it was unsure about this session. On sub-48%-confidence days the band tends to be wider.

About this archived receipt

This receipt is republished from permanent ClickHouse storage — the same data store Veritas has used since 14 May 202. The prediction was generated at 2026-05-14 08:46 IST, before the market opened at 09:15 IST. The actual open is the 09:15–09:25 IST median window price as stored at validation time. Neither the prediction nor the actual has been modified.

Band (low/high) and actual price are shown on every receipt so you can verify range_hit independently: if the actual falls between the band low and high, the band held.

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