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Archived Validation Receipt

Veritas — 20 May 2026 (Wednesday)

Archived record. Republished from permanent ClickHouse storage. Prediction generated 2026-05-20 08:46 IST (pre-open, before 09:15 IST market open). Not a live run — this is a historical record from the validation archive. Band and actual price shown below are as stored; range_hit is independently verifiable.
Bands held
3/3
Direction correct
3/3
Index scope
NIFTY 50 + NIFTY BANK + SENSEX
NIFTY 50
BAND HIT
Predicted band (low)23,346.52
Predicted band (high)23,715.72
Predicted midpoint23,531.12
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)23,459.93
Band resultHIT ✓
Direction (bias: BEARISH)Correct ✓
Confidence48.4%

The NIFTY 50 first-15-minute price (23,459.93) landed near the lower end of the predicted band (23,346.52 – 23,715.72). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. The model's directional lean was BEARISH, and the first-15-minute price moved in that direction — both the range and directional read aligned with what the market did. Model confidence was 48% (weak directional reliability). Below 55%, the band is the primary accountability surface.

NIFTY BANK
BAND HIT
Predicted band (low)52,879.21
Predicted band (high)53,471.44
Predicted midpoint53,175.32
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)52,952.93
Band resultHIT ✓
Direction (bias: BEARISH)Correct ✓
Confidence39.4%

The NIFTY BANK first-15-minute price (52,952.93) landed near the lower end of the predicted band (52,879.21 – 53,471.44). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. The model's directional lean was BEARISH, and the first-15-minute price moved in that direction — both the range and directional read aligned with what the market did. Model confidence was very low at 39% — the model signalled that it was unsure about this session. On sub-48%-confidence days the band tends to be wider.

SENSEX
BAND HIT
Predicted band (low)73,511.93
Predicted band (high)76,358.94
Predicted midpoint74,935.43
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)74,723.02
Band resultHIT ✓
Direction (bias: BEARISH)Correct ✓
Confidence55.3%

The SENSEX first-15-minute price (74,723.02) landed near the midpoint of the predicted band (73,511.93 – 76,358.94). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. The model's directional lean was BEARISH, and the first-15-minute price moved in that direction — both the range and directional read aligned with what the market did. Model confidence was 55% with weak directional reliability.

About this archived receipt

This receipt is republished from permanent ClickHouse storage — the same data store Veritas has used since 20 May 202. The prediction was generated at 2026-05-20 08:46 IST, before the market opened at 09:15 IST. The actual open is the 09:15–09:25 IST median window price as stored at validation time. Neither the prediction nor the actual has been modified.

Band (low/high) and actual price are shown on every receipt so you can verify range_hit independently: if the actual falls between the band low and high, the band held.

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