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Archived Validation Receipt

Veritas — 28 April 2026 (Tuesday)

Archived record. Republished from permanent ClickHouse storage. Prediction generated 2026-04-28 08:46 IST (pre-open, before 09:15 IST market open). Not a live run — this is a historical record from the validation archive. Band and actual price shown below are as stored; range_hit is independently verifiable.
Bands held
2/3
Direction correct
2/3
Index scope
NIFTY 50 + NIFTY BANK + SENSEX
NIFTY 50
BAND HIT
Predicted band (low)23,975.59
Predicted band (high)24,175.26
Predicted midpoint24,075.42
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)24,090.78
Band resultHIT ✓
Direction (bias: BULLISH)Correct ✓
Confidence98.5%

The NIFTY 50 first-15-minute price (24,090.78) landed near the midpoint of the predicted band (23,975.59 – 24,175.26). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. The model's directional lean was BULLISH, and the first-15-minute price moved in that direction — both the range and directional read aligned with what the market did. Model confidence was 98% with weak directional reliability.

NIFTY BANK
BAND HIT
Predicted band (low)55,775.51
Predicted band (high)56,574.63
Predicted midpoint56,175.07
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)55,983.52
Band resultHIT ✓
Direction (bias: NEUTRAL)Not asserted
Confidence68.8%

The NIFTY BANK first-15-minute price (55,983.52) landed near the lower end of the predicted band (55,775.51 – 56,574.63). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. Model confidence was 69% with weak directional reliability.

SENSEX
BAND MISS
Predicted band (low)77,881.76
Predicted band (high)78,786.11
Predicted midpoint78,333.93
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)77,271.07
Band resultMISS ✗
Direction (bias: NEUTRAL)Correct ✓
Confidence89.6%
Failure modeBand miss — actual open outside predicted range

The SENSEX first-15-minute price (77,271.07) traded outside the predicted band (77,881.76 – 78,786.11) — a band miss. The first-15-minute trade printed 610.69 below the lower bound. The first-15-minute price landed outside the predicted band. Recorded without editing. Model confidence was 90% with weak directional reliability.

About this archived receipt

This receipt is republished from permanent ClickHouse storage — the same data store Veritas has used since 28 April 2. The prediction was generated at 2026-04-28 08:46 IST, before the market opened at 09:15 IST. The actual open is the 09:15–09:25 IST median window price as stored at validation time. Neither the prediction nor the actual has been modified.

Band (low/high) and actual price are shown on every receipt so you can verify range_hit independently: if the actual falls between the band low and high, the band held.

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