Veritas — 12 May 2026 (Tuesday)

The NIFTY 50 first-15-minute price (23,704.03) landed near the midpoint of the predicted band (23,591.55 – 23,882.34). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. The model's directional lean was BEARISH, and the first-15-minute price moved in that direction — both the range and directional read aligned with what the market did. Model confidence was 48% (weak directional reliability). Below 55%, the band is the primary accountability surface.

The NIFTY BANK first-15-minute price (54,150.65) landed near the lower end of the predicted band (53,998.37 – 54,865.73). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. The model's directional lean was BEARISH, and the first-15-minute price moved in that direction — both the range and directional read aligned with what the market did. Model confidence was very low at 39% — the model signalled that it was unsure about this session. On sub-48%-confidence days the band tends to be wider.

The SENSEX first-15-minute price (75,588.35) landed near the lower end of the predicted band (75,380.66 – 76,307.97). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. The model's directional lean was BEARISH, and the first-15-minute price moved in that direction — both the range and directional read aligned with what the market did. Model confidence was 49% (weak directional reliability). Below 55%, the band is the primary accountability surface.

About this archived receipt

This receipt is republished from permanent ClickHouse storage — the same data store Veritas has used since 12 May 202. The prediction was generated at 2026-05-12 08:46 IST, before the market opened at 09:15 IST. The actual open is the 09:15–09:25 IST median window price as stored at validation time. Neither the prediction nor the actual has been modified.

Band (low/high) and actual price are shown on every receipt so you can verify range_hit independently: if the actual falls between the band low and high, the band held.

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