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Archived Validation Receipt

Veritas — 16 April 2026 (Thursday)

Archived record. Republished from permanent ClickHouse storage. Prediction generated 2026-04-16 08:46 IST (pre-open, before 09:15 IST market open). Not a live run — this is a historical record from the validation archive. Band and actual price shown below are as stored; range_hit is independently verifiable.
Bands held
0/3
Direction correct
2/3
Index scope
NIFTY 50 + NIFTY BANK + SENSEX
NIFTY 50
BAND MISS
Predicted band (low)24,213.31
Predicted band (high)24,253.43
Predicted midpoint24,233.37
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)24,386.95
Band resultMISS ✗
Direction (bias: NEUTRAL)Correct ✓
Confidence100.0%
Failure modeBand miss — actual open outside predicted range

The NIFTY 50 first-15-minute price (24,386.95) traded outside the predicted band (24,213.31 – 24,253.43) — a band miss. The first-15-minute trade printed 133.52 above the upper bound. The first-15-minute price landed outside the predicted band. Recorded without editing. Model confidence was 100% with weak directional reliability.

NIFTY BANK
BAND MISS
Predicted band (low)56,187.12
Predicted band (high)56,411.63
Predicted midpoint56,299.38
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)56,712.55
Band resultMISS ✗
Direction (bias: BULLISH)Incorrect ✗
Confidence68.8%
Failure modeBand miss — actual open outside predicted range

The NIFTY BANK first-15-minute price (56,712.55) traded outside the predicted band (56,187.12 – 56,411.63) — a band miss. The first-15-minute trade printed 300.92 above the upper bound. The first-15-minute price landed outside the predicted band. Recorded without editing. Model confidence was 69% with weak directional reliability.

SENSEX
BAND MISS
Predicted band (low)77,997.66
Predicted band (high)78,353.68
Predicted midpoint78,175.67
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)78,677.81
Band resultMISS ✗
Direction (bias: BULLISH)Correct ✓
Confidence100.0%
Failure modeBand miss — actual open outside predicted range

The SENSEX first-15-minute price (78,677.81) traded outside the predicted band (77,997.66 – 78,353.68) — a band miss. The first-15-minute trade printed 324.13 above the upper bound. The first-15-minute price landed outside the predicted band. Recorded without editing. Model confidence was 100% with weak directional reliability.

About this archived receipt

This receipt is republished from permanent ClickHouse storage — the same data store Veritas has used since 16 April 2. The prediction was generated at 2026-04-16 08:46 IST, before the market opened at 09:15 IST. The actual open is the 09:15–09:25 IST median window price as stored at validation time. Neither the prediction nor the actual has been modified.

Band (low/high) and actual price are shown on every receipt so you can verify range_hit independently: if the actual falls between the band low and high, the band held.

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