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Public Validation Receipt

Veritas — 2026-06-15 — Day 6 of public tracking

Post-market outcome: predicted first-15-minute bands vs actual first-15-minute trade. Misses are included. This record is permanent and unedited.

Observed: 2026-06-15T08:46:22.748044+05:30

Bands held
2/3
Direction correct
3/3
NIFTY 50
BAND HIT
Predicted band (low)23,608.35
Predicted band (high)23,991.99
Predicted midpoint23,800.17
Actual open (09:15-09:25 Median)23,960.05
Band resultHIT ✓
Direction (bias: BULLISH)Correct ✓
Confidence78.9%

The NIFTY 50 first-15-minute price (23,960.05) landed near the upper end of the predicted band (23,608.35 – 23,991.99). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. The model's directional lean was BULLISH, and the first-15-minute price moved in that direction — both the range and the directional read aligned with what the market did. Model confidence was 79% with strong directional reliability.

BANK NIFTY
BAND MISS
Predicted band (low)56,674.22
Predicted band (high)57,530.09
Predicted midpoint57,102.15
Actual open (09:15-09:25 Median)57,582.65
Band resultMISS ✗
Direction (bias: BULLISH)Correct ✓
Confidence65.8%
Failure modeRANGE_MISS

The BANK NIFTY first-15-minute price (57,582.65) traded outside the predicted band (56,674.22 – 57,530.09) — a band miss. The first-15-minute trade printed 52.56 above the upper bound. Model confidence was 66% with strong directional reliability.

SENSEX
BAND HIT
Predicted band (low)75,049.51
Predicted band (high)76,891.90
Predicted midpoint75,970.70
Actual open (09:15-09:25 Median)76,632.12
Band resultHIT ✓
Direction (bias: BULLISH)Correct ✓
Confidence80.2%

The SENSEX first-15-minute price (76,632.12) landed near the upper end of the predicted band (75,049.51 – 76,891.90). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. The model's directional lean was BULLISH, and the first-15-minute price moved in that direction — both the range and the directional read aligned with what the market did. Model confidence was 80% with strong directional reliability.

About This Receipt

This is a permanent, unedited record of what AION Veritas predicted before the 2026-06-15 market open versus what the market actually did. Validation price is the 09:15–09:25 IST median first-15-minute window. Receipts are published the same day, after market close, and are never revised.

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