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Archived Validation Receipt

Veritas — 23 April 2026 (Thursday)

Archived record. Republished from permanent ClickHouse storage. Prediction generated 2026-04-23 08:46 IST (pre-open, before 09:15 IST market open). Not a live run — this is a historical record from the validation archive. Band and actual price shown below are as stored; range_hit is independently verifiable.
Bands held
3/3
Direction correct
3/3
Index scope
NIFTY 50 + NIFTY BANK + SENSEX
NIFTY 50
BAND HIT
Predicted band (low)24,155.64
Predicted band (high)24,390.29
Predicted midpoint24,272.97
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)24,220.58
Band resultHIT ✓
Direction (bias: BEARISH)Correct ✓
Confidence98.5%

The NIFTY 50 first-15-minute price (24,220.58) landed near the lower end of the predicted band (24,155.64 – 24,390.29). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. The model's directional lean was BEARISH, and the first-15-minute price moved in that direction — both the range and directional read aligned with what the market did. Model confidence was 98% with weak directional reliability.

NIFTY BANK
BAND HIT
Predicted band (low)56,571.11
Predicted band (high)57,174.90
Predicted midpoint56,873.01
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)56,691.03
Band resultHIT ✓
Direction (bias: BULLISH)Correct ✓
Confidence48.6%

The NIFTY BANK first-15-minute price (56,691.03) landed near the lower end of the predicted band (56,571.11 – 57,174.90). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. The model's directional lean was BULLISH, and the first-15-minute price moved in that direction — both the range and directional read aligned with what the market did. Model confidence was 49% (weak directional reliability). Below 55%, the band is the primary accountability surface.

SENSEX
BAND HIT
Predicted band (low)77,802.17
Predicted band (high)78,483.79
Predicted midpoint78,142.98
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)77,916.33
Band resultHIT ✓
Direction (bias: NEUTRAL)Correct ✓
Confidence98.5%

The SENSEX first-15-minute price (77,916.33) landed near the lower end of the predicted band (77,802.17 – 78,483.79). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. The model's directional lean was NEUTRAL, and the first-15-minute price moved in that direction — both the range and directional read aligned with what the market did. Model confidence was 98% with weak directional reliability.

About this archived receipt

This receipt is republished from permanent ClickHouse storage — the same data store Veritas has used since 23 April 2. The prediction was generated at 2026-04-23 08:46 IST, before the market opened at 09:15 IST. The actual open is the 09:15–09:25 IST median window price as stored at validation time. Neither the prediction nor the actual has been modified.

Band (low/high) and actual price are shown on every receipt so you can verify range_hit independently: if the actual falls between the band low and high, the band held.

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