Veritas — 09 April 2026 (Thursday)

The NIFTY 50 first-15-minute price (23,950.22) traded outside the predicted band (23,823.62 – 23,928.61) — a band miss. The first-15-minute trade printed 21.61 above the upper bound. The first-15-minute price landed outside the predicted band. Recorded without editing. Model confidence was 93% with weak directional reliability.

The NIFTY BANK first-15-minute price (55,521.75) landed near the midpoint of the predicted band (55,286.30 – 55,742.40). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. The model's directional lean was BEARISH, and the first-15-minute price moved in that direction — both the range and directional read aligned with what the market did. Model confidence was 60% with weak directional reliability.

The SENSEX first-15-minute price (77,344.55) landed near the upper end of the predicted band (76,500.72 – 77,400.63). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. The model's directional lean was BEARISH, and the first-15-minute price moved in that direction — both the range and directional read aligned with what the market did. Model confidence was 98% with weak directional reliability.

About this archived receipt

This receipt is republished from permanent ClickHouse storage — the same data store Veritas has used since 09 April 2. The prediction was generated at 2026-04-09 08:46 IST, before the market opened at 09:15 IST. The actual open is the 09:15–09:25 IST median window price as stored at validation time. Neither the prediction nor the actual has been modified.

Band (low/high) and actual price are shown on every receipt so you can verify range_hit independently: if the actual falls between the band low and high, the band held.

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