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Archived Validation Receipt

Veritas — 03 June 2026 (Wednesday)

Archived record. Republished from permanent ClickHouse storage. Prediction generated 2026-06-03 08:46 IST (pre-open, before 09:15 IST market open). Not a live run — this is a historical record from the validation archive. Band and actual price shown below are as stored; range_hit is independently verifiable.
Bands held
1/3
Direction correct
0/3
Index scope
NIFTY 50 + NIFTY BANK + SENSEX
NIFTY 50
BAND MISS
Predicted band (low)23,318.90
Predicted band (high)23,512.65
Predicted midpoint23,415.78
Actual open (09:15-09:25 Median)23,305.80
Band resultMISS ✗
Direction (bias: NEUTRAL)Not asserted
Confidence47.6%
Failure modeRANGE_MISS

The NIFTY 50 first-15-minute price (23,305.80) traded outside the predicted band (23,318.90 – 23,512.65) — a band miss. The first-15-minute trade printed 13.10 below the lower bound. Model confidence was very low at 48% — the model signalled that it was unsure about this session. On sub-48%-confidence days the band tends to be wider.

NIFTY BANK
BAND MISS
Predicted band (low)53,378.63
Predicted band (high)53,718.19
Predicted midpoint53,548.41
Actual open (09:15-09:25 Median)53,271.95
Band resultMISS ✗
Direction (bias: NEUTRAL)Not asserted
Confidence39.4%
Failure modeRANGE_MISS

The NIFTY BANK first-15-minute price (53,271.95) traded outside the predicted band (53,378.63 – 53,718.19) — a band miss. The first-15-minute trade printed 106.68 below the lower bound. Model confidence was very low at 39% — the model signalled that it was unsure about this session. On sub-48%-confidence days the band tends to be wider.

SENSEX
BAND HIT
Predicted band (low)73,566.64
Predicted band (high)75,296.49
Predicted midpoint74,431.57
Actual open (09:15-09:25 Median)73,967.14
Band resultHIT ✓
Direction (bias: NEUTRAL)Not asserted
Confidence43.1%
Failure modeNeutral call — direction not asserted

The SENSEX first-15-minute price (73,967.14) landed near the lower end of the predicted band (73,566.64 – 75,296.49). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. Directional bias was NEUTRAL — the model did not assert a direction for this session. The band alone is the accountability measure on neutral calls. Model confidence was very low at 43% — the model signalled that it was unsure about this session. On sub-48%-confidence days the band tends to be wider.

About this archived receipt

This receipt is republished from permanent ClickHouse storage — the same data store Veritas has used since 03 June 20. The prediction was generated at 2026-06-03 08:46 IST, before the market opened at 09:15 IST. The actual open is the 09:15–09:25 IST median window price as stored at validation time. Neither the prediction nor the actual has been modified.

Band (low/high) and actual price are shown on every receipt so you can verify range_hit independently: if the actual falls between the band low and high, the band held.

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