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Archived Validation Receipt

Veritas — 30 April 2026 (Thursday)

Archived record. Republished from permanent ClickHouse storage. Prediction generated 2026-04-30 08:46 IST (pre-open, before 09:15 IST market open). Not a live run — this is a historical record from the validation archive. Band and actual price shown below are as stored; range_hit is independently verifiable.
Bands held
0/3
Direction correct
3/3
Index scope
NIFTY 50 + NIFTY BANK + SENSEX
NIFTY 50
BAND MISS
Predicted band (low)23,954.96
Predicted band (high)24,217.25
Predicted midpoint24,086.10
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)23,922.97
Band resultMISS ✗
Direction (bias: NEUTRAL)Correct ✓
Confidence59.5%
Failure modeBand miss — actual open outside predicted range

The NIFTY 50 first-15-minute price (23,922.97) traded outside the predicted band (23,954.96 – 24,217.25) — a band miss. The first-15-minute trade printed 31.99 below the lower bound. The first-15-minute price landed outside the predicted band. Recorded without editing. Model confidence was 60% with weak directional reliability.

NIFTY BANK
BAND MISS
Predicted band (low)54,890.35
Predicted band (high)55,478.11
Predicted midpoint55,184.23
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)54,657.45
Band resultMISS ✗
Direction (bias: NEUTRAL)Correct ✓
Confidence87.5%
Failure modeBand miss — actual open outside predicted range

The NIFTY BANK first-15-minute price (54,657.45) traded outside the predicted band (54,890.35 – 55,478.11) — a band miss. The first-15-minute trade printed 232.90 below the lower bound. The first-15-minute price landed outside the predicted band. Recorded without editing. Model confidence was 88% with weak directional reliability.

SENSEX
BAND MISS
Predicted band (low)77,824.99
Predicted band (high)78,520.53
Predicted midpoint78,172.76
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)76,687.86
Band resultMISS ✗
Direction (bias: NEUTRAL)Correct ✓
Confidence98.5%
Failure modeBand miss — actual open outside predicted range

The SENSEX first-15-minute price (76,687.86) traded outside the predicted band (77,824.99 – 78,520.53) — a band miss. The first-15-minute trade printed 1,137.13 below the lower bound. The first-15-minute price landed outside the predicted band. Recorded without editing. Model confidence was 98% with weak directional reliability.

About this archived receipt

This receipt is republished from permanent ClickHouse storage — the same data store Veritas has used since 30 April 2. The prediction was generated at 2026-04-30 08:46 IST, before the market opened at 09:15 IST. The actual open is the 09:15–09:25 IST median window price as stored at validation time. Neither the prediction nor the actual has been modified.

Band (low/high) and actual price are shown on every receipt so you can verify range_hit independently: if the actual falls between the band low and high, the band held.

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