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Archived Validation Receipt

Veritas — 20 April 2026 (Monday)

Archived record. Republished from permanent ClickHouse storage. Prediction generated 2026-04-20 08:46 IST (pre-open, before 09:15 IST market open). Not a live run — this is a historical record from the validation archive. Band and actual price shown below are as stored; range_hit is independently verifiable.
Bands held
3/3
Direction correct
0/3
Index scope
NIFTY 50 + NIFTY BANK + SENSEX
NIFTY 50
BAND HIT
Predicted band (low)24,354.82
Predicted band (high)24,560.06
Predicted midpoint24,457.44
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)24,387.33
Band resultHIT ✓
Direction (bias: BULLISH)Incorrect ✗
Confidence70.4%

The NIFTY 50 first-15-minute price (24,387.33) landed near the lower end of the predicted band (24,354.82 – 24,560.06). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. Directional bias (BULLISH) did not match the actual first-15-minute move. The band held, and the direction miss is recorded separately. Model confidence was 70% with weak directional reliability.

NIFTY BANK
BAND HIT
Predicted band (low)55,779.79
Predicted band (high)56,943.24
Predicted midpoint56,361.51
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)56,773.62
Band resultHIT ✓
Direction (bias: BEARISH)Incorrect ✗
Confidence91.9%

The NIFTY BANK first-15-minute price (56,773.62) landed near the upper end of the predicted band (55,779.79 – 56,943.24). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. Directional bias (BEARISH) did not match the actual first-15-minute move. The band held, and the direction miss is recorded separately. Model confidence was 92% with weak directional reliability.

SENSEX
BAND HIT
Predicted band (low)77,530.27
Predicted band (high)78,782.67
Predicted midpoint78,156.47
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)78,573.30
Band resultHIT ✓
Direction (bias: BEARISH)Incorrect ✗
Confidence70.4%

The SENSEX first-15-minute price (78,573.30) landed near the upper end of the predicted band (77,530.27 – 78,782.67). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. Directional bias (BEARISH) did not match the actual first-15-minute move. The band held, and the direction miss is recorded separately. Model confidence was 70% with weak directional reliability.

About this archived receipt

This receipt is republished from permanent ClickHouse storage — the same data store Veritas has used since 20 April 2. The prediction was generated at 2026-04-20 08:46 IST, before the market opened at 09:15 IST. The actual open is the 09:15–09:25 IST median window price as stored at validation time. Neither the prediction nor the actual has been modified.

Band (low/high) and actual price are shown on every receipt so you can verify range_hit independently: if the actual falls between the band low and high, the band held.

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