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Archived Validation Receipt

Veritas — 29 April 2026 (Wednesday)

Archived record. Republished from permanent ClickHouse storage. Prediction generated 2026-04-29 08:46 IST (pre-open, before 09:15 IST market open). Not a live run — this is a historical record from the validation archive. Band and actual price shown below are as stored; range_hit is independently verifiable.
Bands held
1/3
Direction correct
1/3
Index scope
NIFTY 50 + NIFTY BANK + SENSEX
NIFTY 50
BAND MISS
Predicted band (low)23,972.15
Predicted band (high)24,091.54
Predicted midpoint24,031.85
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)24,093.95
Band resultMISS ✗
Direction (bias: BULLISH)Correct ✓
Confidence98.5%
Failure modeBand miss — actual open outside predicted range

The NIFTY 50 first-15-minute price (24,093.95) traded outside the predicted band (23,972.15 – 24,091.54) — a band miss. The first-15-minute trade printed 2.41 above the upper bound. The first-15-minute price landed outside the predicted band. Recorded without editing. Model confidence was 98% with weak directional reliability.

NIFTY BANK
BAND HIT
Predicted band (low)55,086.52
Predicted band (high)55,646.57
Predicted midpoint55,366.54
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)55,482.85
Band resultHIT ✓
Direction (bias: NEUTRAL)Not asserted
Confidence98.5%

The NIFTY BANK first-15-minute price (55,482.85) landed near the upper end of the predicted band (55,086.52 – 55,646.57). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. Model confidence was 98% with weak directional reliability.

SENSEX
BAND MISS
Predicted band (low)78,375.64
Predicted band (high)78,718.42
Predicted midpoint78,547.03
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)77,229.01
Band resultMISS ✗
Direction (bias: BULLISH)Incorrect ✗
Confidence98.5%
Failure modeBand miss — actual open outside predicted range

The SENSEX first-15-minute price (77,229.01) traded outside the predicted band (78,375.64 – 78,718.42) — a band miss. The first-15-minute trade printed 1,146.63 below the lower bound. The first-15-minute price landed outside the predicted band. Recorded without editing. Model confidence was 98% with weak directional reliability.

About this archived receipt

This receipt is republished from permanent ClickHouse storage — the same data store Veritas has used since 29 April 2. The prediction was generated at 2026-04-29 08:46 IST, before the market opened at 09:15 IST. The actual open is the 09:15–09:25 IST median window price as stored at validation time. Neither the prediction nor the actual has been modified.

Band (low/high) and actual price are shown on every receipt so you can verify range_hit independently: if the actual falls between the band low and high, the band held.

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