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Archived Validation Receipt

Veritas — 05 June 2026 (Friday)

Archived record. Republished from permanent ClickHouse storage. Prediction generated 2026-06-05 08:46 IST (pre-open, before 09:15 IST market open). Not a live run — this is a historical record from the validation archive. Band and actual price shown below are as stored; range_hit is independently verifiable.
Bands held
3/3
Direction correct
2/3
Index scope
NIFTY 50 + NIFTY BANK + SENSEX
NIFTY 50
BAND HIT
Predicted band (low)23,339.45
Predicted band (high)23,544.60
Predicted midpoint23,442.03
Actual open (09:15-09:25 Median)23,456.05
Band resultHIT ✓
Direction (bias: BULLISH)Correct ✓
Confidence44.0%

The NIFTY 50 first-15-minute price (23,456.05) landed near the midpoint of the predicted band (23,339.45 – 23,544.60). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. The model's directional lean was BULLISH, and the first-15-minute price moved in that direction — both the range and directional read aligned with what the market did. Model confidence was very low at 44% — the model signalled that it was unsure about this session. On sub-48%-confidence days the band tends to be wider.

NIFTY BANK
BAND HIT
Predicted band (low)54,126.49
Predicted band (high)54,680.59
Predicted midpoint54,403.54
Actual open (09:15-09:25 Median)54,405.20
Band resultHIT ✓
Direction (bias: BULLISH)Correct ✓
Confidence35.5%

The NIFTY BANK first-15-minute price (54,405.20) landed near the midpoint of the predicted band (54,126.49 – 54,680.59). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. The model's directional lean was BULLISH, and the first-15-minute price moved in that direction — both the range and directional read aligned with what the market did. Model confidence was very low at 36% — the model signalled that it was unsure about this session. On sub-48%-confidence days the band tends to be wider.

SENSEX
BAND HIT
Predicted band (low)73,563.80
Predicted band (high)75,522.71
Predicted midpoint74,543.26
Actual open (09:15-09:25 Median)74,526.03
Band resultHIT ✓
Direction (bias: BEARISH)Incorrect ✗
Confidence43.1%
Failure modeDirection miss — band held but bias was wrong

The SENSEX first-15-minute price (74,526.03) landed near the midpoint of the predicted band (73,563.80 – 75,522.71). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. The directional bias was BEARISH, but the actual first-15-minute move was bullish — a direction miss (SIGN_MISS). The range still held as the primary accountability surface. Model confidence was very low at 43% — the model signalled that it was unsure about this session. On sub-48%-confidence days the band tends to be wider.

About this archived receipt

This receipt is republished from permanent ClickHouse storage — the same data store Veritas has used since 05 June 20. The prediction was generated at 2026-06-05 08:46 IST, before the market opened at 09:15 IST. The actual open is the 09:15–09:25 IST median window price as stored at validation time. Neither the prediction nor the actual has been modified.

Band (low/high) and actual price are shown on every receipt so you can verify range_hit independently: if the actual falls between the band low and high, the band held.

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