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Archived Validation Receipt

Veritas — 06 May 2026 (Wednesday)

Archived record. Republished from permanent ClickHouse storage. Prediction generated 2026-05-06 08:46 IST (pre-open, before 09:15 IST market open). Not a live run — this is a historical record from the validation archive. Band and actual price shown below are as stored; range_hit is independently verifiable.
Bands held
1/3
Direction correct
0/3
Index scope
NIFTY 50 + NIFTY BANK + SENSEX
NIFTY 50
BAND MISS
Predicted band (low)23,843.42
Predicted band (high)24,165.01
Predicted midpoint24,004.21
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)24,176.90
Band resultMISS ✗
Direction (bias: NEUTRAL)Not asserted
Confidence44.0%
Failure modeRANGE_MISS

The NIFTY 50 first-15-minute price (24,176.90) traded outside the predicted band (23,843.42 – 24,165.01) — a band miss. The first-15-minute trade printed 11.89 above the upper bound. Model confidence was very low at 44% — the model signalled that it was unsure about this session. On sub-48%-confidence days the band tends to be wider.

NIFTY BANK
BAND MISS
Predicted band (low)54,021.67
Predicted band (high)54,806.34
Predicted midpoint54,414.00
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)55,212.10
Band resultMISS ✗
Direction (bias: NEUTRAL)Not asserted
Confidence39.4%
Failure modeRANGE_MISS

The NIFTY BANK first-15-minute price (55,212.10) traded outside the predicted band (54,021.67 – 54,806.34) — a band miss. The first-15-minute trade printed 405.76 above the upper bound. Model confidence was very low at 39% — the model signalled that it was unsure about this session. On sub-48%-confidence days the band tends to be wider.

SENSEX
BAND HIT
Predicted band (low)76,391.90
Predicted band (high)77,511.37
Predicted midpoint76,951.63
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)77,431.74
Band resultHIT ✓
Direction (bias: BEARISH)Incorrect ✗
Confidence43.1%
Failure modeNeutral call — direction not asserted

The SENSEX first-15-minute price (77,431.74) landed near the upper end of the predicted band (76,391.90 – 77,511.37). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. Directional bias was NEUTRAL — the model did not assert a direction for this session. The band alone is the accountability measure on neutral calls. Model confidence was very low at 43% — the model signalled that it was unsure about this session. On sub-48%-confidence days the band tends to be wider.

About this archived receipt

This receipt is republished from permanent ClickHouse storage — the same data store Veritas has used since 06 May 202. The prediction was generated at 2026-05-06 08:46 IST, before the market opened at 09:15 IST. The actual open is the 09:15–09:25 IST median window price as stored at validation time. Neither the prediction nor the actual has been modified.

Band (low/high) and actual price are shown on every receipt so you can verify range_hit independently: if the actual falls between the band low and high, the band held.

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