Archived Validation Receipt

Veritas — 11 May 2026 (Monday)

Archived record. Republished from permanent ClickHouse storage. Prediction generated 2026-05-11 08:46 IST (pre-open, before 09:15 IST market open). Not a live run — this is a historical record from the validation archive. Band and actual price shown below are as stored; range_hit is independently verifiable.

Bands held
1/3

Direction correct
0/3

Index scope
NIFTY 50 + NIFTY BANK + SENSEX

NIFTY 50

BAND MISS

Predicted band (low)24,019.80

Predicted band (high)24,336.72

Predicted midpoint24,178.26

Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)23,944.50

Band resultMISS ✗

Direction (bias: BEARISH)Incorrect ✗

Confidence—%

Failure modeRANGE_MISS

The NIFTY 50 first-15-minute price (23,944.50) traded outside the predicted band (24,019.80 – 24,336.72) — a band miss. The first-15-minute trade printed 75.30 below the lower bound. Directional bias (BEARISH) did not match the actual first-15-minute move. The band did not hold, and the direction miss is recorded separately. Model confidence was very low at 0% — the model signalled that it was unsure about this session. On sub-48%-confidence days the band tends to be wider.

NIFTY BANK

BAND HIT

Predicted band (low)54,830.48

Predicted band (high)55,731.22

Predicted midpoint55,280.85

Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)54,841.72

Band resultHIT ✓

Direction (bias: BULLISH)Incorrect ✗

Confidence39.4%

Failure modeDirection miss — band held but bias was wrong

The NIFTY BANK first-15-minute price (54,841.72) landed near the lower end of the predicted band (54,830.48 – 55,731.22). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. The directional bias was BULLISH, but the actual first-15-minute move was bearish — a direction miss (SIGN_MISS). The range still held as the primary accountability surface. Model confidence was very low at 39% — the model signalled that it was unsure about this session. On sub-48%-confidence days the band tends to be wider.

SENSEX

BAND MISS

Predicted band (low)76,903.40

Predicted band (high)77,919.40

Predicted midpoint77,411.40

Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)76,503.78

Band resultMISS ✗

Direction (bias: BULLISH)Incorrect ✗

Confidence43.1%

Failure modeRANGE_MISS

The SENSEX first-15-minute price (76,503.78) traded outside the predicted band (76,903.40 – 77,919.40) — a band miss. The first-15-minute trade printed 399.62 below the lower bound. Directional bias (BULLISH) did not match the actual first-15-minute move. The band did not hold, and the direction miss is recorded separately. Model confidence was very low at 43% — the model signalled that it was unsure about this session. On sub-48%-confidence days the band tends to be wider.

About this archived receipt

This receipt is republished from permanent ClickHouse storage — the same data store Veritas has used since 11 May 202. The prediction was generated at 2026-05-11 08:46 IST, before the market opened at 09:15 IST. The actual open is the 09:15–09:25 IST median window price as stored at validation time. Neither the prediction nor the actual has been modified.

Band (low/high) and actual price are shown on every receipt so you can verify range_hit independently: if the actual falls between the band low and high, the band held.

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