Veritas — 21 May 2026 (Thursday)

The NIFTY 50 first-15-minute price (23,772.40) landed near the upper end of the predicted band (23,503.90 – 23,823.61). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. Directional bias was NEUTRAL — the model did not assert a direction for this session. The band alone is the accountability measure on neutral calls. Model confidence was very low at 38% — the model signalled that it was unsure about this session. On sub-48%-confidence days the band tends to be wider.

The NIFTY BANK first-15-minute price (53,839.18) traded outside the predicted band (53,404.24 – 53,782.47) — a band miss. The first-15-minute trade printed 56.71 above the upper bound. Model confidence was very low at 39% — the model signalled that it was unsure about this session. On sub-48%-confidence days the band tends to be wider.

The SENSEX first-15-minute price (75,637.40) landed near the midpoint of the predicted band (74,025.37 – 76,646.61). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. The directional bias was BEARISH, but the actual first-15-minute move was bullish — a direction miss (SIGN_MISS). The range still held as the primary accountability surface. Model confidence was very low at 43% — the model signalled that it was unsure about this session. On sub-48%-confidence days the band tends to be wider.

About this archived receipt

This receipt is republished from permanent ClickHouse storage — the same data store Veritas has used since 21 May 202. The prediction was generated at 2026-05-21 08:46 IST, before the market opened at 09:15 IST. The actual open is the 09:15–09:25 IST median window price as stored at validation time. Neither the prediction nor the actual has been modified.

Band (low/high) and actual price are shown on every receipt so you can verify range_hit independently: if the actual falls between the band low and high, the band held.

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