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Archived Validation Receipt

Veritas — 24 April 2026 (Friday)

Archived record. Republished from permanent ClickHouse storage. Prediction generated 2026-04-24 08:46 IST (pre-open, before 09:15 IST market open). Not a live run — this is a historical record from the validation archive. Band and actual price shown below are as stored; range_hit is independently verifiable.
Bands held
1/3
Direction correct
2/3
Index scope
NIFTY 50 + NIFTY BANK + SENSEX
NIFTY 50
BAND HIT
Predicted band (low)24,068.21
Predicted band (high)24,400.09
Predicted midpoint24,234.15
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)24,106.22
Band resultHIT ✓
Direction (bias: BEARISH)Correct ✓
Confidence98.5%

The NIFTY 50 first-15-minute price (24,106.22) landed near the lower end of the predicted band (24,068.21 – 24,400.09). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. The model's directional lean was BEARISH, and the first-15-minute price moved in that direction — both the range and directional read aligned with what the market did. Model confidence was 98% with weak directional reliability.

NIFTY BANK
BAND MISS
Predicted band (low)56,431.31
Predicted band (high)57,215.29
Predicted midpoint56,823.30
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)56,358.97
Band resultMISS ✗
Direction (bias: BEARISH)Incorrect ✗
Confidence66.7%
Failure modeBand miss — actual open outside predicted range

The NIFTY BANK first-15-minute price (56,358.97) traded outside the predicted band (56,431.31 – 57,215.29) — a band miss. The first-15-minute trade printed 72.34 below the lower bound. The first-15-minute price landed outside the predicted band. Recorded without editing. Model confidence was 67% with weak directional reliability.

SENSEX
BAND MISS
Predicted band (low)77,480.67
Predicted band (high)78,547.92
Predicted midpoint78,014.29
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)77,395.19
Band resultMISS ✗
Direction (bias: NEUTRAL)Correct ✓
Confidence98.5%
Failure modeBand miss — actual open outside predicted range

The SENSEX first-15-minute price (77,395.19) traded outside the predicted band (77,480.67 – 78,547.92) — a band miss. The first-15-minute trade printed 85.48 below the lower bound. The first-15-minute price landed outside the predicted band. Recorded without editing. Model confidence was 98% with weak directional reliability.

About this archived receipt

This receipt is republished from permanent ClickHouse storage — the same data store Veritas has used since 24 April 2. The prediction was generated at 2026-04-24 08:46 IST, before the market opened at 09:15 IST. The actual open is the 09:15–09:25 IST median window price as stored at validation time. Neither the prediction nor the actual has been modified.

Band (low/high) and actual price are shown on every receipt so you can verify range_hit independently: if the actual falls between the band low and high, the band held.

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