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Archived Validation Receipt

Veritas — 07 April 2026 (Tuesday)

Archived record. Republished from permanent ClickHouse storage. Prediction generated 2026-04-07 08:46 IST (pre-open, before 09:15 IST market open). Not a live run — this is a historical record from the validation archive. Band and actual price shown below are as stored; range_hit is independently verifiable.
Bands held
2/3
Direction correct
1/3
Index scope
NIFTY 50 + NIFTY BANK + SENSEX
NIFTY 50
BAND MISS
Predicted band (low)11,579.01
Predicted band (high)22,111.33
Predicted midpoint16,845.17
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)22,821.70
Band resultMISS ✗
Direction (bias: BEARISH)Incorrect ✗
Confidence100.0%
Failure modeBand miss — actual open outside predicted range

The NIFTY 50 first-15-minute price (22,821.70) traded outside the predicted band (11,579.01 – 22,111.33) — a band miss. The first-15-minute trade printed 710.37 above the upper bound. The first-15-minute price landed outside the predicted band. Recorded without editing. Model confidence was 100% with weak directional reliability.

NIFTY BANK
BAND HIT
Predicted band (low)52,010.19
Predicted band (high)52,695.94
Predicted midpoint52,353.07
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)52,125.25
Band resultHIT ✓
Direction (bias: BEARISH)Correct ✓
Confidence100.0%

The NIFTY BANK first-15-minute price (52,125.25) landed near the lower end of the predicted band (52,010.19 – 52,695.94). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. The model's directional lean was BEARISH, and the first-15-minute price moved in that direction — both the range and directional read aligned with what the market did. Model confidence was 100% with weak directional reliability.

SENSEX
BAND HIT
Predicted band (low)73,490.24
Predicted band (high)125,010.94
Predicted midpoint99,250.59
Actual open (09:15-09:30 Median)73,640.36
Band resultHIT ✓
Direction (bias: BEARISH)Incorrect ✗
Confidence100.0%

The SENSEX first-15-minute price (73,640.36) landed near the lower end of the predicted band (73,490.24 – 125,010.94). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. Directional bias (BEARISH) did not match the actual first-15-minute move. The band held, and the direction miss is recorded separately. Model confidence was 100% with weak directional reliability.

About this archived receipt

This receipt is republished from permanent ClickHouse storage — the same data store Veritas has used since 07 April 2. The prediction was generated at 2026-04-07 08:46 IST, before the market opened at 09:15 IST. The actual open is the 09:15–09:25 IST median window price as stored at validation time. Neither the prediction nor the actual has been modified.

Band (low/high) and actual price are shown on every receipt so you can verify range_hit independently: if the actual falls between the band low and high, the band held.

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