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Archived Validation Receipt

Veritas — 26 June 2026 (Friday)

Archived record. Republished from permanent ClickHouse storage. Prediction generated 2026-06-25 08:47 IST (pre-open, before 09:15 IST market open). Not a live run — this is a historical record from the validation archive. Band and actual price shown below are as stored; range_hit is independently verifiable.
Bands held
1/3
Direction correct
3/3
Index scope
NIFTY 50 + NIFTY BANK + SENSEX
NIFTY 50
BAND MISS
Predicted band (low)23,865.80
Predicted band (high)24,094.27
Predicted midpoint23,980.03
Actual open (09:15-09:25 Median)24,125.85
Band resultMISS ✗
Direction (bias: BULLISH)Correct ✓
Confidence44.7%
Failure modeRANGE_MISS

The NIFTY 50 first-15-minute price (24,125.85) traded outside the predicted band (23,865.80 – 24,094.27) — a band miss. The first-15-minute trade printed 31.58 above the upper bound. Model confidence was very low at 45% — the model signalled that it was unsure about this session. On sub-48%-confidence days the band tends to be wider.

NIFTY BANK
BAND HIT
Predicted band (low)57,813.07
Predicted band (high)58,678.32
Predicted midpoint58,245.69
Actual open (09:15-09:25 Median)58,493.85
Band resultHIT ✓
Direction (bias: BULLISH)Correct ✓
Confidence36.4%

The NIFTY BANK first-15-minute price (58,493.85) landed near the upper end of the predicted band (57,813.07 – 58,678.32). The band held — the model's first-15-minute range estimate was consistent with the actual first-15-minute trade. The model's directional lean was BULLISH, and the first-15-minute price moved in that direction — both the range and directional read aligned with what the market did. Model confidence was very low at 36% — the model signalled that it was unsure about this session. On sub-48%-confidence days the band tends to be wider.

SENSEX
BAND MISS
Predicted band (low)76,492.29
Predicted band (high)77,306.51
Predicted midpoint76,899.40
Actual open (09:15-09:25 Median)77,391.07
Band resultMISS ✗
Direction (bias: BULLISH)Correct ✓
Confidence41.3%
Failure modeRANGE_MISS

The SENSEX first-15-minute price (77,391.07) traded outside the predicted band (76,492.29 – 77,306.51) — a band miss. The first-15-minute trade printed 84.56 above the upper bound. Model confidence was very low at 41% — the model signalled that it was unsure about this session. On sub-48%-confidence days the band tends to be wider.

About this archived receipt

This receipt is republished from permanent ClickHouse storage — the same data store Veritas has used since 26 June 20. The prediction was generated at 2026-06-25 08:47 IST, before the market opened at 09:15 IST. The actual open is the 09:15–09:25 IST median window price as stored at validation time. Neither the prediction nor the actual has been modified.

Band (low/high) and actual price are shown on every receipt so you can verify range_hit independently: if the actual falls between the band low and high, the band held.

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