Veritas — 2026-07-10 — Day 24 of public tracking
Post-market outcome: predicted first-15-minute bands vs actual first-15-minute trade. Misses are included. This record is permanent and unedited.
Observed: 2026-07-10T08:46:13.731863+05:30
0/3
1/3
The NIFTY 50 first-15-minute price (24,165.85) traded outside the predicted band (23,821.56 – 24,041.08) — a band miss. The first-15-minute trade printed 124.77 above the upper bound. Model confidence was very low at 40% — the model effectively signalled that it was unsure about this session. On sub-48%-confidence days the band width tends to be wider and the directional read carries less weight in the overall score.
The BANK NIFTY first-15-minute price (57,735.95) traded outside the predicted band (56,793.67 – 57,699.79) — a band miss. The first-15-minute trade printed 36.16 above the upper bound. Directional bias (BEARISH) did not match the actual first-15-minute move. The band did not hold, and the direction miss is recorded separately in the validation score. Model confidence was very low at 26% — the model effectively signalled that it was unsure about this session. On sub-48%-confidence days the band width tends to be wider and the directional read carries less weight in the overall score.
The SENSEX first-15-minute price (77,449.78) traded outside the predicted band (76,209.83 – 77,058.61) — a band miss. The first-15-minute trade printed 391.17 above the upper bound. Directional bias (NEUTRAL) did not match the actual first-15-minute move. The band did not hold, and the direction miss is recorded separately in the validation score. Model confidence was very low at 33% — the model effectively signalled that it was unsure about this session. On sub-48%-confidence days the band width tends to be wider and the directional read carries less weight in the overall score.
About This Receipt
This is a permanent, unedited record of what AION Veritas predicted before the 2026-07-10 market open versus what the market actually did. Validation price is the 09:15–09:25 IST median first-15-minute window. Receipts are published the same day, after market close, and are never revised.