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Public Validation Receipt

Veritas — 2026-07-02 — Day 18 of public tracking

Post-market outcome: predicted first-15-minute bands vs actual first-15-minute trade. Misses are included. This record is permanent and unedited.

Observed: 2026-07-02T08:46:44.673957+05:30

Bands held
0/3
Direction correct
0/3
NIFTY 50
BAND MISS
Predicted band (low)23,882.65
Predicted band (high)24,129.01
Predicted midpoint24,005.83
Actual open (09:15-09:25 Median)
Band resultMISS ✗
Direction (bias: NEUTRAL)Not asserted
Confidence44.7%
Failure modepending

The NIFTY 50 first-15-minute price (—) traded outside the predicted band (23,882.65 – 24,129.01) — a band miss. Directional bias (NEUTRAL) did not match the actual first-15-minute move. The band did not hold, and the direction miss is recorded separately in the validation score. Model confidence was very low at 45% — the model effectively signalled that it was unsure about this session. On sub-48%-confidence days the band width tends to be wider and the directional read carries less weight in the overall score.

BANK NIFTY
BAND MISS
Predicted band (low)57,619.26
Predicted band (high)58,496.08
Predicted midpoint58,057.67
Actual open (09:15-09:25 Median)
Band resultMISS ✗
Direction (bias: BULLISH)Incorrect ✗
Confidence36.4%
Failure modepending

The BANK NIFTY first-15-minute price (—) traded outside the predicted band (57,619.26 – 58,496.08) — a band miss. Directional bias (BULLISH) did not match the actual first-15-minute move. The band did not hold, and the direction miss is recorded separately in the validation score. Model confidence was very low at 36% — the model effectively signalled that it was unsure about this session. On sub-48%-confidence days the band width tends to be wider and the directional read carries less weight in the overall score.

SENSEX
BAND MISS
Predicted band (low)76,439.03
Predicted band (high)77,318.03
Predicted midpoint76,878.53
Actual open (09:15-09:25 Median)
Band resultMISS ✗
Direction (bias: NEUTRAL)Not asserted
Confidence45.5%
Failure modepending

The SENSEX first-15-minute price (—) traded outside the predicted band (76,439.03 – 77,318.03) — a band miss. Directional bias (NEUTRAL) did not match the actual first-15-minute move. The band did not hold, and the direction miss is recorded separately in the validation score. Model confidence was very low at 46% — the model effectively signalled that it was unsure about this session. On sub-48%-confidence days the band width tends to be wider and the directional read carries less weight in the overall score.

About This Receipt

This is a permanent, unedited record of what AION Veritas predicted before the 2026-07-02 market open versus what the market actually did. Validation price is the 09:15–09:25 IST median first-15-minute window. Receipts are published the same day, after market close, and are never revised.

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